Hi Tom, I thought I'd share my results with you. I have been keeping records on all my play. I just made my 1000th money bet. Virtual bets were not included. I had 551 Wins.... 449 Loses for a **55.1 win percentage.** Sessions are relatively short. There were 62 winning sessions, 31 losing sessions and 7 were break even. W/L had a 66.6 win percentage. Total units won were +235. I think it is a fair sample size. We'll see how it goes in the future. Take care, Paul
DOCTOR TOM: I then asked Paul which of the various SSHPH versions he had used?
Paul:
Hey Tom,
No, I am not using the new 2 col version. I looked at it and will spend more time with it. It's hard for me to change what seems to be working so well. But I am open. I am using just 1 col. Short sessions quick to take good profits and quick to cut a poor shoe short. Seems to get a fair number of win streaks. I never end on a win bet. I always wait for a loss. XXXXX Money Management doesn't seem to be my personality. I use a XXXXXX. The most important thing to me is drawdown. It's way more important to me than units won. I know I have never had a 15 unit drawdown in a session. Not sure but 9 or so was probably about the worst. I have increased unit size a few times out of profits. Someone mentioned doubling bet size following a loss. I think it is a good idea. I tried experimenting with going up about 1.5x unit size following a loss. Still working with that.
Hope all is well. I'll keep in touch.
Paul:
** I would like to put this +55.1% Flat Bet win rate into a perspective that many people may find surprising.
First, this 55.1% is very close to the reported average win rate by ALL my HYBRID students, including the original 3 column version dating back to May of 2017. Do you have any idea what that number +55.1% means? It literally means that if you play any version of HYBRID, you will have a +9.05 % advantage OVER the casino which normally has a -1.06 % edge over all players betting banker. It is -1.24 % for player wagers. Out of every 100 bets you would place on banker you would win ~54 and lose ~46... long term. If you were using $100 units, you would win ~$900 every 100 bets. That is like having a printing press “in the basement,” as the old saying goes.
How powerful is a +9.05 % player advantage? I will use an example you will be able to understand, When Beat The Dealer, by ED Thorpe, was published in the 60’s, and card counting became a reality for blackjack players, millions and millions was won in the casinos...with an average player’s advantage of just 1 %.
That is the actual average edge gained by an expert card counter... who is able to play under “favorable” conditions.
There are few... to NO casinos...where favorable blackjack playing conditions can be found today. Also, with such a small edge, you need a very large playing bankroll behind your play because there will be very LARGE bankroll swings up and down. I recently read that with a $10,000 playing bankroll, a good card counter could expect to average winning $10 an hour.
Paul’s report is that his bankroll never dropped below 9 units in the red.
So, a little quick math would tell us that if, like the blackjack player who started with $10,000 and averages $10/hour...Paul could have played those 1000 baccarat bets with $1,000 units, he would have won +$235,000!! WITHOUT ever needing more than $9000 out of his bankroll...and that is IF, he had started at the exact spot he would have lost the first 9 units. That did not happen by the way. He was up many units in winnings before the 9 units were lost. Lastly, as a baccarat player, unlike a blackjack player, you never have to worry about getting barred for winning too much. ALL casino personnel, dealers, pit bosses and owners KNOW that...regardless of how much you win...if they can get you to keep coming back to play there...you will lose it all back, with interest ...since they have the house edge. I’ll take that bet anytime.
